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Oil prices slipped to near $71 a barrel Friday as the crude market took a breather from its recent daily gains. But the mood remained bullish as investors eyed signs that the global recession may be easing.

Benchmark crude for July delivery fell $1.60 to $71.08 a barrel by afternoon European time in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. On Thursday, it rose $1.35 to settle at $72.68, the highest since October.

Reflecting expectations of continued global economic weakness, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries forecast Friday that demand for its crude this year would average 28.6 million barrels a day – 2.2 million barrels less than in 2008.

Still there are some signs of a turnaround.
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OIL prices climbed above US$69 (S$99.60) a barrel on Friday in Asia as the first drop in US unemployment claims in five months provided another sign that weak demand for crude could improve.

Benchmark crude oil for July delivery was up 62 cents at US$69.43 a barrel midday in Bangkok in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX). On Thursday the contract shot up US$2.69 to settle at US$68.81 after trading as high as US$69.60.

Oil prices have rallied for three months in tandem with global stock markets, and they soared this week to their highest levels since November, though the rally was briefly interrupted Wednesday by a jump in US crude inventories.
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NYMEX

Energy prices tumbled after the US Federal Reserve predicted that, even if the worst of the recession is over, the US economy will continue to shrink this year.

Benchmark crude for July delivery fell 99 cents to settle at $US61.05 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices at one point had fallen to a within a cent of $US60.

In London, Brent crude fell 66 cents to settle at $US59.93 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.
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The price of crude oil means the spot price of either WTI/Light Crude as traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) for delivery in Cushing, Oklahoma, or of Brent as traded on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE, into which the International Petroleum Exchange has been incorporated) for delivery at Sullom Voe. The price of a barrel of oil is highly dependent on both its grade, determined by factors such as its specific gravity or API and its sulphur content, and its location. The vast majority of oil is not traded on an exchange but on an over-the-counter basis, typically with reference to a marker crude oil grade that is typically quoted via pricing agencies such as Argus Media Ltd and Platts. Other important benchmarks include Dubai, Tapis, and the OPEC basket. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) uses the Imported Refiner Acquisition Cost, the weighted average cost of all oil imported into the US, as its “world oil price”. Read more »

A recent low point was reached in January 1999 of $16 (all prices are in US$ per barrel), after increased oil production from Iraq coincided with the Asian financial crisis, which reduced demand. Prices then increased rapidly, more than doubling by September 2000 to $35, then fell until the end of 2001 before steadily increasing, reaching $40-50 by September 2004. In October 2004 light crude futures contracts on the NYMEX for November delivery exceeded $53 and for December delivery exceeded $55. Crude oil prices surged to a record high above $60 in June 2005, sustaining a rally built on strong demand for gasoline and diesel and on concerns about refiners’ ability to keep up. This trend continued into early August 2005, as NYMEX crude oil futures contracts surged past $65 as consumers kept up the demand for gasoline despite its high price. Crude oil futures peaked at a close of over $77 in July 2006, and in December 2006 at about $63. That is just about where they began the year 2006. In September 2007, US crude (WTI) crossed $80. Multiple factors caused this high price. OPEC announced an output increase lower than expected. US stocks fell lower than experts predicted, changes in federal oil policies , and six pipelines were attacked by a leftist group in Mexico. In October 2007 US light crude rose above $90 for the first time, due to a combination of tensions in eastern Turkey and the reducing strength of the US dollar. Read more »